Friday, January 14, 2011
Odd Oldham outcome?...
I think so. Clearly and as expected Labour won but was it convincing?. Open to debate: Labour votes in May 2010: 14,186. Labour votes in by-election, January 2011: 14,718...admittedly their percent of the vote went up but only to just under the level achieved in the 2005 election. The Conservative vote fell drastically (by over 7000 votes) as expected and so too the Lib Dem votes but less so (14 thousand down to 11 thousand) although between them the 'Coalition' got more than Labour (edit: imagine had there been AV, hehehe); so we can deduce that the people either didn't vote (turnout was 48%) and possibly many Conservatives boosted the Lib Dem vote as the best opportunity of a upset (pah!). This result is certainly a blow for the Conservatives BUT the tiny increase for the winner IMHO is hardly the ringing endorsement or judgement of Ed Miliband or his performance as opposition leader nor proof of public "anger" over reductions in spending to 2007/8 levels.
Update: I have just added the image (above left, click on image to go to larger version in BBC news article), look at the numbers: would it be too simplistic a view to say that 'Labour' and 'Others' are more or less the same as before and that the Coalition together got 10,000 fewer votes and that voting numbers (62% then, 48% yesterday) were 10,000 less than the general election?
Posted by Span Ows at 10:13 am