Monday, October 17, 2022

Odd overt overestimation offered ocracy overreach...


Title edited 18/10/22. Mainly a grammatical correction. "COVID-19 Much Less Deadly Than Previously Thought, Major Study Finds"...no? Say it ain't so...The Daily Sceptic's Will Jones points to THIS study - in the non-elderly (u70) - which was led by Dr. John Ioannidis [BIO]. John was the guy that said this would be like a flu epidemic and that perhaps we should rein in a bit of the hysteria (I paraphrase of course) ...he said this in Feb/March 2020 [LINKA fiasco in the making?] .
Some of us listened, some of us thought the Diamond Princess or USS Roosevelt situations would have made good (though not perfect) indications of what to expect: back then, before the first UK lockdown "Projecting the Diamond Princess mortality rate onto the age structure of the U.S. population, the death rate among people infected with Covid-19 would be 0.125%.". 

Turns out it wasn't even near that for the under 50s: "A further breakdown by age group found that the average IFR was 0.0003% at 0-19 years, 0.003% at 20-29 years, 0.011% at 30-39 years, 0.035% at 40-49 years, 0.129% at 50-59 years, and 0.501% at 60-69 years.

That said, the average (mean) age of death - certainly in the UK - for COVID-19 has been lower than that of flu and pneumonia throughout the pandemic...[UK ONS]. HOWEVER, 
  "In summer 2021, the mean age of death fell to 73 years"!! 
hmmm...what had happening to the older cohorts in Q1 and 2 of that year? Let me guess...do you remember? I do, they were queuing up for an experimental jab that they had been lied to about. 
THIS October Opener (2020) would have been the far better course.

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